Paper II · 2017 · Q 8(b) · 20 Marks
"By 1980s, the Communist System of Soviet Union was incapable of maintaining the country's role as a Superpower." Substantiate.
The Cold War and After › Collapse of the Soviet Union
Answer:
By the 1980s the Soviet Union retained the military attributes of a superpower but had lost the economic and political capacity to sustain that role. Structural stagnation, unsustainable military spending, imperial overstretch and a crisis of legitimacy together made the position untenable.
Economic stagnation
- Growth rates fell steadily through the Brezhnev years, the era of zastoi.
- Central planning could not allocate resources efficiently or respond to demand.
- Agriculture remained chronically unproductive, requiring large grain imports.
- Consumer goods were scarce and of poor quality, producing endemic shortages.
- The economy missed the computer and information revolution entirely.
- Falling world oil prices after 1985 removed its principal source of hard currency.
The burden of military competition
- Defence absorbed an estimated fifteen to twenty-five per cent of national output.
- Reagan's build-up and the Strategic Defence Initiative raised the cost of parity.
- The war in Afghanistan from 1979 drained resources and morale.
- Subsidies to Cuba, Vietnam and eastern Europe were an increasing burden.
Political and social crisis
- An ageing, sclerotic leadership passed rapidly from Brezhnev to Andropov to Chernenko.
- Corruption and privilege discredited the party in the eyes of citizens.
- Nationalist feeling grew in the Baltic republics, the Caucasus and Central Asia.
- Chernobyl in 1986 exposed both technological failure and official secrecy.
- Ideological faith had largely evaporated among the population.
Attempted reform and collapse
- Gorbachev's perestroika disrupted the planned economy without creating a market.
- Glasnost released criticism that the system could not absorb.
- Abandonment of the Brezhnev Doctrine allowed eastern Europe to break away in 1989.
- The failed coup of August 1991 destroyed the party's authority.
- The Union was formally dissolved in December 1991.
Assessment
- Military parity had been purchased at the cost of civilian living standards.
- The system could produce weapons but not prosperity or consent.
- Gorbachev sought to save socialism and instead presided over its collapse.
- The Cold War ended without the war its whole structure had been built to fight.
The statement is thus well substantiated. As historians of the Soviet collapse conclude, the USSR could still match the United States in weapons but not in economic dynamism or political legitimacy, and once reform exposed that gap the superpower role it had sustained since 1945 proved impossible to maintain.
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